Яков писал(а):в какой мере фирма серьезная?
Так себе. Вангуют, иногда и угадывают. В 2012 предсказывали победу республиканцев.
Зато очень информативны и рассылают своих опросов ежедневно.
In reference to the 2008 presidential election, a Talking Points Memo article said, "Rasmussen's final polls had Obama ahead 52%-46%, which was nearly identical to Obama's final margin of 53%–46%, and made him one of the most accurate pollsters out there. An analysis by Costas Panagopolous in 2009 ranked 23 survey research organizations on the accuracy of their final, the analysis determined that Rasmussen Reports was tied for 9th most accurate. Democracy Corps, Foxnews/Opinion Dynamic, CNN/Opinion Research, and Ipsos/McClatchy all predicted an accurate seven point spread.
The final 2012 Rasmussen Reports daily tracking poll showed Mitt Romney with 49 percent national support and President Obama with 48 percent national support. Obama won the election by close to 4 percentage points. A Fordham University study by Dr. Costas Panagopoulos compared pre-election polling with the results from election day. The study ranked Rasmussen Reports 24th out of 28 polls in accuracy, one slot above Gallup.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rasmussen_Reports